The Matchday 34 La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid will take place on May 3 at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Alaves
The Basque side is unbeaten in two consecutive league matches. Eduardo Coudet's team drew away with Sevilla (1-1) and defeated Real Sociedad at home (1-0). Thanks to the victory over the San Sebastian team, they moved out of the relegation zone, creating a two-point gap. It is also noteworthy that the team has not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 La Liga games.
- The club has failed to win in 17 of their last 21 La Liga matches (9 draws and 8 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in Alaves' last five league matches.
- The Basque team has failed to score in the first half in 9 of their last 11 home league games.
Predicted lineup for Alaves (4-3-3)
Antonio Sivera – Facundo Garces, Manu Sanchez, Nahuel Tenaglia, Santiago Mourino – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Joan Jordan – Carlos Martin, Kike Garcia, Carlos Vicente.
Atletico Madrid
The capital club continues to chase the league leaders. Catching up with Barcelona seems unlikely, given the 10-point gap, but they can still overtake their city rivals Real Madrid, who are six points ahead. In their last four La Liga matches, Diego Simeone's team has won three times, losing only to Las Palmas (0-1). In their most recent outing, Atletico defeated Rayo Vallecano 3-0 at home, marking their fifth big win in the current La Liga season.
- At least two goals have been scored in 6 of Atletico's last 7 league games.
- Atletico has conceded only two goals in the first half of their last 12 La Liga matches.
- The team has conceded in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – Javi Galan, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet – Marcos Llorente, Conor Gallagher, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone.
Referee
Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
Matches – 16 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 77;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 25%.
Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Atletico Madrid has yet to secure their spot in next season's Champions League. However, they can achieve this in the current match if they win and Betis, who are in sixth place, drop points in their game. Therefore, Diego Simeone's team is determined to win this round, as their opponents in the next three rounds will be tougher.
Nevertheless, I won't risk betting on a straight win for the visitors. Alaves boasts one of the best defensive records at home, conceding only 16 goals in the current league campaign. Only two teams have better defensive stats at home in La Liga. Additionally, Atletico has been dropping points more frequently in away matches, winning only two of their last seven (2 draws and 3 losses). With caution, I suggest a prediction: Atletico Madrid with a handicap (0).
